SPX sessions closed in negative gamma, with the net-gamma percentile 50 to 80, on PCE days

5 sessions · the archive filtered by the dealer book · all sessions · the calendar

5 of 1,114 sessions match. Of them 0% closed above the flip (archive 54%), 60% held the expected-hold band (archive 60%), mean open-to-close move 0.58% (archive 0.59%).

Every row is a finished SPX session and links to its page, where the same numbers stand with the day's events and a free minute-by-minute replay. The filters are the closing measurements those pages print: the zero-gamma flip against the close and the open, the net-gamma percentile, how often the flip was crossed, whether the expected-hold band held, and the calendar event the day carried. The shares above are counts over the matched days next to the same counts over the whole archive; a share that matches the archive is a base rate, not a pattern.

SessionCloseMoveFlipvs flipPctlCrossBandEvents
2026-09-307,651.12-0.56%7,691.6-40.5705heldPCE, GDP, Fed, EIA
2026-08-267,675.54+0.12%7,677.6-2.06018heldPCE, Housing, GDP, VIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2026-01-226,912.90-0.12%6,918.1-5.2749heldPCE, GDP, Claims, EIA
2024-12-205,933.15+1.63%5,944.4-11.27714brokePCE, Opex
2024-07-265,459.37+0.47%5,460.0-0.66213brokePCE, UMich

Turn a filter into a rule

A count is where a question starts. The Lab takes a rule in plain words ("sell the 0DTE straddle at 10:00 on days that opened below the flip with the percentile under 20"), compiles it against every archived session and reports the out-of-sample verdict with day-clustered intervals. An assistant with the MCP server can page through the same archive with list_sessions and get_session.

Measurements are model output derived from public trade and quote data; they are approximations and can be wrong. Nothing here is investment advice; see the Terms.