SPX sessions closed in negative gamma, with the net-gamma percentile 80 and above, on Treasury auction days

13 sessions · the archive filtered by the dealer book · all sessions · the calendar

13 of 1,103 sessions match. Of them 0% closed above the flip (archive 84%), 15% held the expected-hold band (archive 60%), mean open-to-close move 0.75% (archive 0.60%).

Every row is a finished SPX session and links to its page, where the same numbers stand with the day's events and a free minute-by-minute replay. The filters are the closing measurements those pages print: the zero-gamma flip against the close and the open, the net-gamma percentile, how often the flip was crossed, whether the expected-hold band held, and the calendar event the day carried. The shares above are counts over the matched days next to the same counts over the whole archive; a share that matches the archive is a base rate, not a pattern.

SessionCloseMoveFlipvs flipPctlCrossBandEvents
2026-09-157,585.17-0.33%7,664.3-79.11001heldAuctions
2026-09-097,636.30-0.22%7,692.7-56.4822heldVIX settlement, Auctions
2026-06-167,511.70-0.61%7,526.0-14.3815brokeHousing, Auctions
2025-03-275,692.62-0.05%5,712.4-19.8994brokeGDP, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2024-08-075,200.16-1.89%5,221.8-21.68110brokeVIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2023-10-264,136.60-0.95%4,153.9-17.38228brokeHousing, GDP, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2023-05-254,151.32+0.18%4,162.7-11.4938brokeGDP, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2023-03-214,000.74+0.23%4,003.2-2.59526brokeAuctions
2022-11-103,954.42+1.62%3,954.5-0.18610brokeCPI, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2022-10-263,830.19+0.09%3,841.2-11.01004brokeHousing, VIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2022-06-223,760.65+1.10%3,772.4-11.81005brokeFed, VIX settlement, Auctions
2022-06-094,017.54-1.96%4,090.9-73.49926brokeClaims, EIA, Fed, Auctions
2022-06-084,115.20-0.56%4,128.3-13.110017brokeVIX settlement, EIA, Auctions

Turn a filter into a rule

A count is where a question starts. The Lab takes a rule in plain words ("sell the 0DTE straddle at 10:00 on days that opened below the flip with the percentile under 20"), compiles it against every archived session and reports the out-of-sample verdict with day-clustered intervals. An assistant with the MCP server can page through the same archive with list_sessions and get_session.

Measurements are model output derived from public trade and quote data; they are approximations and can be wrong. Nothing here is investment advice; see the Terms.