SPX sessions closed in negative gamma, with the net-gamma percentile under 20, on consumer confidence days

9 sessions · the archive filtered by the dealer book · all sessions · the calendar

9 of 1,114 sessions match. Of them 0% closed above the flip (archive 54%), 22% held the expected-hold band (archive 60%), mean open-to-close move 1.08% (archive 0.59%).

Every row is a finished SPX session and links to its page, where the same numbers stand with the day's events and a free minute-by-minute replay. The filters are the closing measurements those pages print: the zero-gamma flip against the close and the open, the net-gamma percentile, how often the flip was crossed, whether the expected-hold band held, and the calendar event the day carried. The shares above are counts over the matched days next to the same counts over the whole archive; a share that matches the archive is a base rate, not a pattern.

SessionCloseMoveFlipvs flipPctlCrossBandEvents
2026-09-297,669.87-0.27%7,672.9-3.01022brokeConfidence, JOLTS, Auctions
2024-12-315,883.81-0.71%5,885.4-1.61923heldVIX settlement, Confidence
2024-04-305,036.57-1.21%5,074.4-37.803brokeConfidence
2023-05-304,206.22-0.50%4,207.1-0.9731brokeConfidence
2023-04-254,072.09-1.15%4,098.3-26.3123brokeHousing, Confidence
2022-12-273,828.47-0.40%3,833.1-4.6314brokeConfidence
2022-07-263,921.47-0.72%3,927.7-6.224heldHousing, Confidence, Auctions
2022-06-283,822.21-2.57%3,879.3-57.111brokeConfidence, Auctions
2022-04-264,177.05-2.16%4,217.7-40.6141brokeHousing, Confidence

Turn a filter into a rule

A count is where a question starts. The Lab takes a rule in plain words ("sell the 0DTE straddle at 10:00 on days that opened below the flip with the percentile under 20"), compiles it against every archived session and reports the out-of-sample verdict with day-clustered intervals. An assistant with the MCP server can page through the same archive with list_sessions and get_session.

Measurements are model output derived from public trade and quote data; they are approximations and can be wrong. Nothing here is investment advice; see the Terms.