SPX sessions closed in positive gamma, on retail sales days

31 sessions · the archive filtered by the dealer book · all sessions · the calendar

31 of 1,122 sessions match. Of them 100% closed above the flip (archive 56%) and the mean open-to-close move was 0.53% (archive 0.59%).

Every row is a finished SPX session and links to its page, where the same numbers stand with the day's events and a free minute-by-minute replay. The filters are the closing measurements those pages print: the zero-gamma flip against the close and the open, the net-gamma percentile, how often the flip was crossed, and the calendar event the day carried. The shares above are counts over the matched days next to the same counts over the whole archive; a share that matches the archive is a base rate, not a pattern.

SessionCloseMoveFlipvs flipPctlCrossEvents
2026-08-147,785.87-0.20%7,785.1+0.7756Retail sales, UMich
2026-05-147,501.21+0.51%7,494.5+6.7700Retail sales, Claims, EIA
2026-01-146,927.60-0.14%6,905.6+22.07422PPI, Retail sales, VIX settlement, EIA, Fed
2025-12-166,800.12-0.13%6,789.6+10.59520NFP, Retail sales
2025-11-256,766.32+1.03%6,737.6+28.81007PPI, Retail sales, Confidence, Auctions
2025-07-176,298.41+0.53%6,287.2+11.2580Retail sales, Claims, EIA
2025-05-155,915.25+0.76%5,900.6+14.6907PPI, Retail sales, Claims, Fed, EIA
2025-04-255,525.34+0.71%5,502.6+22.810016Retail sales, UMich
2025-03-175,675.57+0.78%5,664.5+11.16518Retail sales
2024-12-176,050.05+0.07%6,046.5+3.610013Retail sales, Auctions
2024-08-155,541.77+0.54%5,526.1+15.6800Retail sales, Claims, EIA
2024-07-165,666.26+0.33%5,652.1+14.14730Retail sales
2024-06-185,486.66+0.16%5,480.3+6.45016Retail sales, VIX settlement, Auctions
2024-05-155,308.82+0.72%5,290.2+18.6902CPI, Retail sales, VIX settlement, Fed, EIA
2024-04-235,070.45+0.81%5,064.9+5.6552Housing, Retail sales
2024-03-145,151.45-0.43%5,147.1+4.45516PPI, Retail sales, Claims, Halts, EIA
2024-02-155,030.17+0.49%5,016.1+14.110011Retail sales, Claims, Fed, EIA
2024-01-174,739.26+0.12%4,730.5+8.79031Retail sales, VIX settlement, Auctions
2023-12-144,720.52-0.21%4,719.1+1.44720Retail sales, Claims, EIA
2023-10-174,373.10+0.68%4,365.5+7.65519Retail sales
2023-09-144,505.61+0.38%4,500.1+5.5808PPI, Retail sales, Claims, EIA
2023-07-184,555.75+0.89%4,539.2+16.5841Retail sales
2023-06-154,426.62+1.38%4,405.8+20.8552Retail sales, Claims, EIA
2023-04-244,137.04+0.02%4,131.4+5.62012Retail sales
2023-04-144,138.25-0.11%4,129.3+8.93012Retail sales, UMich
2023-03-153,889.95+0.75%3,868.1+21.87534PPI, Retail sales, VIX settlement, EIA
2023-02-154,146.10+0.84%4,129.5+16.79019Retail sales, VIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2022-07-153,862.20+0.50%3,846.6+15.6754Retail sales, Opex
2022-06-153,788.75+0.46%3,784.2+4.55515Retail sales, VIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2022-05-174,088.22+0.45%4,067.8+20.47219Retail sales, Fed
2022-04-254,296.66+1.28%4,256.7+40.027Retail sales

Turn a filter into a rule

A count is where a question starts. The Lab takes a rule in plain words ("sell the 0DTE straddle at 10:00 on days that opened below the flip with the percentile under 20"), compiles it against every archived session and reports the out-of-sample verdict with day-clustered intervals. An assistant with the MCP server can page through the same archive with list_sessions and get_session.

Measurements are model output derived from public trade and quote data; they are approximations and can be wrong. Nothing here is investment advice; see the Terms.