What happens on days SPX crosses the zero-gamma flip two or more times?

SPX sessions with two or more flip crossings · 393 sessions · the archive filtered by the dealer book · all sessions · the calendar

Short answer. 393 of 1,103 archived SPX sessions matched. Of them 62% closed above the zero-gamma flip (archive 84%), 19% held the expected-hold band (archive 60%) and the mean open-to-close move was 0.82% (archive 0.60%). Counts over finished sessions, recomputed as the archive grows; a share equal to the archive's is a base rate, not a pattern.

393 of 1,103 sessions match. Of them 62% closed above the flip (archive 84%), 19% held the expected-hold band (archive 60%), mean open-to-close move 0.82% (archive 0.60%).

Every row is a finished SPX session and links to its page, where the same numbers stand with the day's events and a free minute-by-minute replay. The filters are the closing measurements those pages print: the zero-gamma flip against the close and the open, the net-gamma percentile, how often the flip was crossed, whether the expected-hold band held, and the calendar event the day carried. The shares above are counts over the matched days next to the same counts over the whole archive; a share that matches the archive is a base rate, not a pattern.

SessionCloseMoveFlipvs flipPctlCrossBandEvents
2026-09-147,620.30+0.26%7,665.1-44.8882broke
2026-09-117,657.42-0.02%7,717.1-59.7272heldCPI, UMich, Fed
2026-09-097,636.30-0.22%7,692.7-56.4822heldVIX settlement, Auctions
2026-09-027,666.27+0.39%7,705.5-39.202brokeHousing, VIX settlement, EIA, Fed
2026-08-287,711.72-0.32%7,811.4-99.7482brokeUMich
2026-08-277,731.45+0.36%7,654.1+77.3693brokeClaims, EIA, Auctions
2026-08-267,675.95+0.13%7,663.1+12.8993brokePCE, Housing, GDP, VIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2026-08-187,690.64-0.22%7,696.7-6.1323heldHousing, Auctions
2026-08-177,745.45-0.53%7,745.0+0.402broke
2026-08-057,712.99-0.94%7,720.7-7.707brokeRefunding, VIX settlement, ISM, EIA
2026-08-047,736.35+1.31%7,745.1-8.8288brokeHousing, JOLTS
2026-08-037,600.47+1.06%7,452.4+148.11002brokeISM, Housing, Fed, Refunding
2026-07-317,489.97+0.23%7,501.1-11.1025brokeUMich
2026-07-307,437.15+0.79%7,407.7+29.41003brokePCE, GDP, Claims, EIA
2026-07-297,317.75-1.35%7,272.6+45.103brokeVIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2026-07-247,410.80-0.01%7,361.6+49.2988heldHousing
2026-07-237,407.80-0.12%7,361.5+46.36612brokeClaims, EIA
2026-07-167,533.67-0.32%7,479.8+53.9982heldRetail sales, Claims, EIA
2026-07-157,572.15+0.02%7,567.4+4.8652brokePPI, VIX settlement, EIA, Fed
2026-07-017,483.35+0.14%7,488.2-4.803brokeVIX settlement, ISM, Housing, EIA
2026-06-267,339.17+0.36%7,202.7+136.5814brokeUMich, Opex
2026-06-237,365.75+0.13%7,297.0+68.8982heldAuctions
2026-06-187,499.42-0.09%7,488.4+11.01002brokeClaims, EIA, Opex
2026-06-177,420.70-1.31%7,397.2+23.5932brokeRetail sales, VIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2026-06-167,511.70-0.61%7,526.0-14.3815brokeHousing, Auctions
2026-06-157,553.95+0.24%7,537.1+16.803broke
2026-06-127,431.79+0.32%7,392.4+39.4982heldUMich
2026-06-117,393.92+1.35%7,306.3+87.6912brokePPI, Claims, EIA, Fed, Auctions
2026-06-057,384.59-1.98%7,377.3+7.362brokeNFP
2026-05-227,473.35-0.15%7,413.2+60.2956brokeUMich
2026-05-147,501.21+0.51%7,491.8+9.41007brokeRetail sales, Claims, EIA
2026-05-127,400.75+0.18%7,396.0+4.8848brokeCPI, Auctions
2026-05-067,365.20+0.85%7,365.2+0.003brokeVIX settlement, EIA
2026-05-057,259.52+0.26%7,247.3+12.210012brokeHousing, ISM, JOLTS
2026-05-047,200.92-0.26%7,195.2+5.710018brokeHousing, Fed
2026-04-307,209.79+0.69%7,059.0+150.8982heldPCE, GDP, Claims, EIA
2026-04-297,136.05+0.11%7,120.2+15.91004brokeHousing, Refunding, VIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2026-04-237,108.32-0.16%7,092.5+15.85312brokeClaims, EIA
2026-04-227,138.35+0.37%7,078.8+59.6728heldVIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2026-04-217,063.60-0.78%7,059.6+4.01002brokeRetail sales
2026-04-136,886.26+1.28%6,891.2-4.9816broke
2026-04-086,782.20-0.06%6,772.4+9.8976brokeVIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2026-04-026,582.42+1.39%6,525.0+57.41002brokeClaims, EIA
2026-03-186,624.85-0.98%6,572.1+52.8968brokeHousing, PPI, VIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2026-03-126,673.29-0.66%6,607.4+65.91004heldHousing, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2026-03-096,795.55+1.63%6,574.3+221.342broke
2026-02-066,931.92+1.36%6,786.0+145.9992brokeUMich
2026-01-286,977.09-0.29%6,928.0+49.14010heldVIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2026-01-216,875.10+0.73%6,858.4+16.71007brokeVIX settlement, Housing, Auctions
2026-01-156,944.02-0.30%6,904.8+39.2923heldClaims, EIA
2026-01-096,966.60+0.49%6,899.1+67.5962heldNFP, Housing, UMich, Fed
2025-12-016,812.80+0.09%6,818.7-5.903brokeISM, Fed
2025-11-286,848.69+0.04%6,785.7+63.0992heldUMich, EIA, Opex
2025-11-206,539.17-3.04%6,518.4+20.89612brokeNFP, Claims, EIA
2025-11-106,832.77+0.54%6,738.3+94.5944heldAuctions
2025-11-076,728.72+0.64%6,599.3+129.4935held
2025-10-316,841.65-0.40%6,748.9+92.8372broke
2025-10-296,891.10-0.18%6,781.0+110.1538heldVIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2025-09-226,694.80+0.68%6,627.5+67.3994held
2025-09-166,607.10-0.26%6,610.2-3.112brokeRetail sales, Auctions
2025-07-316,341.46-1.01%6,272.4+69.11512brokePCE, Claims, EIA
2025-06-306,206.19+0.18%6,128.4+77.8972held
2025-06-185,980.50-0.10%5,881.0+99.59516brokeHousing, Claims, VIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2025-05-075,631.07+0.31%5,608.4+22.710020brokeVIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2025-05-065,607.32+0.15%5,630.3-23.0582brokeAuctions
2025-05-025,687.32+0.43%5,484.4+202.9998brokeNFP, Housing
2025-04-215,159.90-1.34%5,114.3+45.61004broke
2025-04-105,268.22-1.47%5,234.2+34.0682brokeCPI, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2025-04-095,454.52+10.00%5,453.0+1.5833brokeVIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2025-04-084,987.15-4.77%5,026.0-38.9117brokeAuctions
2025-04-075,063.06+3.30%5,035.1+28.08314brokeHalts
2025-04-045,074.67-3.70%5,076.0-1.3833brokeNFP, Fed
2025-04-015,632.60+0.78%5,634.1-1.513brokeISM, JOLTS, Housing
2025-03-275,692.62-0.05%5,712.4-19.8994brokeGDP, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2025-03-215,667.20+0.83%5,657.2+10.0752brokeOpex
2025-03-205,662.02+0.48%5,663.3-1.37416brokeClaims, EIA
2025-03-195,675.42+0.73%5,682.0-6.69229brokeEIA, FOMC
2025-03-115,572.65-0.60%5,400.4+172.3802heldJOLTS, Auctions
2025-03-045,778.45-0.48%5,575.4+203.105held
2025-03-035,849.17-2.04%5,819.7+29.504brokeISM, Housing
2025-01-296,038.10-0.31%6,011.2+26.9809heldVIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2024-12-266,037.31+0.23%5,968.6+68.7574heldClaims, EIA, Auctions
2024-12-246,037.27+0.92%6,026.6+10.742brokeVIX settlement, Auctions
2024-12-205,933.15+1.63%5,921.5+11.67717brokePCE, Opex
2024-12-185,872.81-2.88%5,971.1-98.305brokeHousing, VIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2024-12-046,086.15+0.32%6,033.5+52.61002heldHousing, VIX settlement, ISM, EIA
2024-11-075,974.00+0.39%5,972.1+1.9786brokeClaims, EIA, FOMC
2024-11-065,929.60+0.55%5,862.0+67.61002heldVIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2024-11-055,782.72+0.96%5,716.2+66.5489heldISM, Auctions
2024-10-305,816.10-0.20%5,801.4+14.7989heldGDP, Refunding, VIX settlement, EIA
2024-10-255,808.12-0.56%5,797.5+10.6874heldHousing, UMich
2024-09-185,618.30-0.34%5,589.0+29.3342heldHousing, VIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2024-09-115,554.32+1.29%5,616.0-61.702brokeCPI, VIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2024-09-065,409.24-1.94%5,364.8+44.49137brokeNFP
2024-08-285,592.71-0.59%5,552.2+40.5932heldVIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2024-08-235,634.17+0.54%5,574.8+59.41006heldHousing, UMich
2024-08-075,200.16-1.89%5,221.8-21.68110brokeVIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2024-08-065,238.87+0.62%5,225.9+13.0846brokeAuctions
2024-08-055,187.74+1.20%5,080.9+106.8116brokeISM, Fed
2024-08-025,345.79-0.47%5,340.6+5.27810brokeNFP, Housing
2024-08-015,445.16-1.80%5,369.4+75.8906brokeClaims, ISM, Housing, EIA
2024-07-315,522.19+0.37%5,513.7+8.5559brokeRefunding, VIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2024-07-305,436.27-0.75%5,409.5+26.8909brokeConfidence, JOLTS
2024-07-255,399.37-0.56%5,393.8+5.61006brokeHousing, GDP, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2024-07-245,427.81-1.46%5,422.1+5.7873brokeHousing, VIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2024-07-185,545.79-0.97%5,642.3-96.506brokeClaims, EIA
2024-07-115,586.17-0.86%5,554.2+32.08214heldCPI, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2024-07-095,577.12-0.09%5,543.9+33.2623heldFed, Auctions
2024-07-035,534.72+0.42%5,542.0-7.332brokeHousing, Claims, VIX settlement, ISM, EIA
2024-06-285,459.27-0.53%5,440.4+18.91002heldPCE, UMich, Opex
2024-06-205,472.82-0.43%5,454.1+18.7924heldHousing, Claims, EIA
2024-06-125,420.71+0.02%5,421.1-0.4610brokeCPI, VIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2024-05-295,266.90-0.04%5,236.7+30.28913brokeVIX settlement, Auctions
2024-05-225,306.10-0.22%5,287.7+18.4846heldVIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2024-05-035,128.77+0.03%5,076.6+52.210015heldNFP, ISM
2024-05-015,020.27-0.22%5,008.0+12.39819brokeRefunding, VIX settlement, ISM, JOLTS, Housing, EIA, FOMC
2024-04-305,036.57-1.21%5,043.8-7.208brokeConfidence
2024-04-255,048.87+0.82%4,945.9+103.01003heldGDP, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2024-04-155,061.25-1.99%5,067.1-5.904brokeRetail sales
2024-04-095,209.79-0.22%5,137.2+72.613heldAuctions
2024-04-045,148.32-1.98%5,166.1-17.8554brokeClaims, EIA
2024-04-035,212.30+0.31%5,183.2+29.19310heldVIX settlement, ISM, EIA
2024-03-205,223.82+0.88%5,198.9+24.9928brokeVIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2024-03-195,177.35+0.75%5,182.3-4.904brokeHousing, Auctions
2024-03-085,124.37-0.73%5,134.1-9.7018brokeNFP, UMich
2024-03-055,078.42-0.61%5,069.2+9.29132brokeHousing, ISM
2024-02-235,089.57-0.27%5,062.9+26.705heldUMich
2024-02-145,001.10+0.39%4,948.2+52.9816heldPPI, VIX settlement, EIA
2024-02-134,952.15-0.07%4,992.9-40.803brokeCPI
2024-01-314,845.54-1.15%4,843.2+2.3614brokeRefunding, VIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2024-01-294,927.72+0.73%4,863.4+64.3212brokeRefunding
2024-01-194,837.67+1.01%4,747.7+90.0784heldOpex
2024-01-114,780.09-0.29%4,764.4+15.710026brokeCPI, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2024-01-094,755.17+0.41%4,706.9+48.31003heldAuctions
2023-12-224,755.32-0.08%4,728.5+26.802heldPCE, Housing, UMich
2023-11-104,416.12+1.16%4,380.1+36.0742brokeUMich
2023-11-084,383.87-0.05%4,381.2+2.71006brokeVIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2023-11-074,378.87+0.30%4,313.0+65.903brokeAuctions
2023-11-034,359.15+0.40%4,356.6+2.51008brokeNFP, ISM
2023-11-014,237.42+0.85%4,216.4+21.09511brokeRefunding, VIX settlement, ISM, JOLTS, Housing, EIA, FOMC
2023-10-264,136.60-0.95%4,153.9-17.38228brokeHousing, GDP, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2023-10-254,186.77-0.99%4,164.7+22.19022brokeHousing, VIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2023-10-194,278.11-1.04%4,287.6-9.535brokeClaims, EIA
2023-10-134,327.77-0.97%4,322.9+4.99942brokeUMich
2023-10-124,349.45-0.67%4,335.3+14.1998brokeCPI, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2023-10-094,335.17+1.07%4,320.9+14.31004broke
2023-10-054,258.45+0.01%4,255.6+2.8946brokeClaims, EIA
2023-10-034,229.89-0.89%4,224.7+5.2994brokeJOLTS
2023-09-294,287.70-0.92%4,264.1+23.6611brokePCE
2023-09-284,298.86+0.73%4,327.6-28.797brokeGDP, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2023-09-274,274.12-0.34%4,254.6+19.59914brokeHousing, VIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2023-09-264,274.47-0.81%4,253.7+20.89912brokeHousing, Confidence
2023-09-254,337.40+0.65%4,329.3+8.1982broke
2023-09-214,329.91-1.05%4,337.7-7.8210brokeClaims, EIA
2023-09-204,401.82-1.15%4,409.4-7.67510brokeVIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2023-09-194,444.30+0.02%4,419.2+25.1952brokeHousing, Auctions
2023-09-154,448.62-0.92%4,454.1-5.508brokeOpex
2023-09-124,462.47-0.19%4,447.5+15.0958brokeAuctions
2023-09-064,465.57-0.42%4,462.2+3.44822brokeVIX settlement, ISM
2023-09-054,496.90-0.33%4,490.1+6.8835brokeHousing
2023-08-294,498.77+1.48%4,393.9+104.91002heldConfidence, JOLTS, Auctions
2023-08-254,405.15+0.21%4,310.4+94.89213heldUMich
2023-08-244,376.61-1.71%4,384.5-7.9629brokeHousing, Claims, EIA
2023-08-174,373.20-1.08%4,371.6+1.667brokeClaims, EIA
2023-08-164,404.85-0.68%4,433.7-28.89922brokeHousing, VIX settlement, EIA
2023-08-154,437.62-0.78%4,423.3+14.3966brokeRetail sales
2023-08-104,469.11-0.52%4,472.8-3.787brokeCPI, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2023-08-094,467.02-0.71%4,463.5+3.58712brokeVIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2023-08-084,500.24+0.17%4,465.6+34.61002broke
2023-08-044,477.02-0.88%4,481.2-4.2011brokeNFP
2023-08-034,501.19+0.13%4,509.6-8.4982brokeHousing, Claims, ISM, EIA
2023-08-024,513.64-0.70%4,495.2+18.48418brokeRefunding, VIX settlement, EIA
2023-08-014,576.87+0.05%4,582.7-5.879brokeISM, JOLTS, Housing
2023-07-284,581.45+0.20%4,587.4-5.9192brokePCE, UMich
2023-07-274,538.94-1.33%4,539.7-0.83712brokeHousing, GDP, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2023-07-264,567.64+0.13%4,565.9+1.7246brokeHousing, VIX settlement, EIA, FOMC
2023-07-254,567.82+0.33%4,574.0-6.2143brokeConfidence, Auctions
2023-07-204,535.79-0.46%4,522.0+13.88814brokeClaims, EIA
2023-07-194,566.39-0.02%4,540.6+25.8594brokeHousing, VIX settlement, EIA, Auctions
2023-07-114,439.90+0.50%4,431.3+8.610010broke
2023-07-074,398.87-0.04%4,390.9+8.0992brokeNFP
2023-07-064,412.17+0.06%4,412.3-0.1215brokeClaims, ISM, JOLTS, EIA
2023-07-054,446.82+0.22%4,453.0-6.257brokeHousing, VIX settlement, EIA
2023-06-304,450.05+0.51%4,391.7+58.432heldPCE
2023-06-294,396.34+0.51%4,392.3+4.09814brokeGDP, Claims, EIA
2023-06-284,377.60+0.24%4,384.8-7.215brokeVIX settlement, EIA, Auctions, Fed
2023-06-274,378.60+0.84%4,311.7+66.99510heldHousing, Confidence, Auctions, Halts
2023-06-234,348.00+0.04%4,362.1-14.17516brokeUMich, Opex
2023-06-214,365.75-0.17%4,332.8+32.9997brokeFed, VIX settlement, Auctions
2023-06-154,426.62+1.38%4,344.1+82.5994brokeRetail sales, Claims, EIA
2023-06-144,371.70+0.07%4,294.1+77.6388brokePPI, VIX settlement, EIA, FOMC, Fed
2023-06-134,369.47+0.30%4,366.8+2.7984brokeCPI, Auctions
2023-06-124,339.74+0.69%4,339.0+0.723brokeAuctions
2023-06-024,281.02+0.65%4,214.2+66.81003heldNFP
2023-06-014,220.32+0.93%4,302.3-82.003brokeClaims, ISM, Housing, EIA
2023-05-314,181.65-0.15%4,138.1+43.59712heldVIX settlement, JOLTS, Opex
2023-05-304,206.22-0.50%4,170.6+35.673brokeConfidence
2023-05-264,205.21+1.10%4,211.3-6.147brokePCE, Housing, UMich
2023-05-254,151.32+0.18%4,162.7-11.4938brokeGDP, Claims, EIA, Auctions
2023-05-234,146.99-0.66%4,134.9+12.1822brokeHousing

Showing the first 200 of 393; the JSON carries all of them.

Turn a filter into a rule

A count is where a question starts. The Lab takes a rule in plain words ("sell the 0DTE straddle at 10:00 on days that opened below the flip with the percentile under 20"), compiles it against every archived session and reports the out-of-sample verdict with day-clustered intervals. An assistant with the MCP server can page through the same archive with list_sessions and get_session.

Measurements are model output derived from public trade and quote data; they are approximations and can be wrong. Nothing here is investment advice; see the Terms.