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The week of June 16

US market events that move the SPX book, in ET, with what usually followed each kind of event across the sessions in the free archive. The same calendar the terminal draws beside every session.

Week of June 16

The week of June 16, 2025, ET

Mon 16

13:0020-year bond auction, $13B (reopening)30 min after 13:00: 1.16x the tape's own vol, 313 days · all Treasury auction days
dayCircuit breakers: L1 5,558.38 · L2 5,199.77 · L3 4,781.40

Tue 17

08:30Retail salespre-openRetail sales m/m: actual -1.1% / prior -0.1%first 30 min: 1.03x the usual open, 57 days · all retail sales days
08:30Import and export pricespre-openImport prices m/m: actual -0.5% / prior 0.1%
dayCircuit breakers: L1 5,610.15 · L2 5,248.21 · L3 4,825.94

Wed 18

08:30Housing startspre-openHousing starts: actual 1289K / prior 1400Kfirst 30 min: 0.87x the usual open, 97 days · all housing and durables days
08:30Initial jobless claimspre-openfirst 30 min: 1.08x the usual open, 215 days · all jobless claims days
09:30VIX settlementfirst 30 min: 0.9x the usual open, 227 days · all VIX settlement days
10:30EIA petroleum status30 min after 10:30: 0.99x the tape's own vol, 228 days · all EIA inventory days
14:00FOMC decisionhighFed funds: actual 4.50% / prior 4.50%hour after 14:00: 3.45x the tape's own vol, 36 days · the study · the forward ledger · all FOMC decision days
14:30FOMC press conferencehigh30 min after 14:30: 1.6x the tape's own vol, 36 days · the study
dayCircuit breakers: L1 5,563.88 · L2 5,204.92 · L3 4,786.14

Thu 19nothing scheduled

Fri 20

10:30EIA natural gas storage30 min after 10:30: 1.06x the tape's own vol, 220 days · all EIA inventory days
15:50Nasdaq-100 rebalance at the close
15:50S&P 500 rebalance at the close30 min after 15:30: 1.01x the tape's own vol, 17 days · all expiration days
dayCircuit breakers: L1 5,561.87 · L2 5,203.03 · L3 4,784.40
closeQuarterly opex (quad witching)the session: 0.95x the usual session, 17 days · the study · all expiration days

Week of June 23

The week of June 23, 2025, ET

Mon 23

dayCircuit breakers: L1 5,550.31 · L2 5,192.22 · L3 4,774.46

Tue 24

08:30Fed Chair testimonypre-openhour after 10:00: 1.19x the tape's own vol, 18 days · all Fed speech and Beige Book days
10:00Consumer confidence (Conference Board)30 min after 10:00: 0.95x the tape's own vol, 52 days · all consumer confidence days
10:00Fed Chair testimony: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress
13:002-year note auction, $69B30 min after 13:00: 1.16x the tape's own vol, 313 days · all Treasury auction days
dayCircuit breakers: L1 5,603.64 · L2 5,242.12 · L3 4,820.34

Wed 25

08:30Housing startspre-openHousing starts: actual 1289K / prior 1400Kfirst 30 min: 0.87x the usual open, 97 days · all housing and durables days
09:30VIX settlementfirst 30 min: 0.9x the usual open, 227 days · all VIX settlement days
10:00Fed Chair testimony: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress
10:00New home salesNew home sales: actual 622K / prior 701K30 min after 10:00: 0.9x the tape's own vol, 49 days · all housing and durables days
10:30EIA petroleum status30 min after 10:30: 0.99x the tape's own vol, 228 days · all EIA inventory days
13:005-year note auction, $70B30 min after 13:00: 1.16x the tape's own vol, 313 days · all Treasury auction days
dayCircuit breakers: L1 5,667.33 · L2 5,301.69 · L3 4,875.12

Thu 26

08:30Durable goods orderspre-openDurable goods m/m: actual 16.5% / prior -6.6%first 30 min: 1.06x the usual open, 108 days · all housing and durables days
08:30GDPpre-openGDP q/q: actual 3.8% / prior -0.6%first 30 min: 1.17x the usual open, 54 days · all GDP days
08:30Initial jobless claimspre-openClaims: actual 236K / prior 243Kfirst 30 min: 1.08x the usual open, 215 days · all jobless claims days
10:30EIA natural gas storage30 min after 10:30: 1.06x the tape's own vol, 220 days · all EIA inventory days
13:007-year note auction, $44B30 min after 13:00: 1.16x the tape's own vol, 313 days · all Treasury auction days
dayCircuit breakers: L1 5,666.03 · L2 5,300.48 · L3 4,874.00

Fri 27

08:30PCE inflation, income and spendingpre-openhighCore PCE m/m: actual 0.2% / prior 0.2%first 30 min: 1.1x the usual open, 52 days · all PCE days
10:00UMich consumer sentiment (final)Sentiment: actual 60.7 / prior 52.2; 1y inflation: actual 5% / prior 6.6%; 5y inflation: actual 4% / prior 4.2%30 min after 10:00: 1.18x the tape's own vol, 50 days · all consumer sentiment days
15:50Russell reconstitution at the close
16:30Fed stress test results
dayCircuit breakers: L1 5,711.47 · L2 5,342.99 · L3 4,913.10

The calendar in three minutes

A walk through the panel, the measured lines, DEVELOP, the before/after ladder, the alerts and these pages, on the FOMC day of July 29. Watch on YouTube

How to read the line under an event

Each kind of event carries one measured line: over the window that follows it, how much the index moved relative to what the tape was already doing, averaged over every archived session that carried the event, against the same window on every other session. In the file's own words: range over the window / (trailing 30-min move x sqrt(minutes)), mean on event days over mean on other days. A pre-open release is read over the first 30 minutes of the session as a share of the opening print. The day count is the number of archived sessions behind the number, so a line on 36 days says less than one on 215.

The FOMC decision and the expirations link to the studies that took them apart; the decision also links to the forward ledger, where two rules fixed in advance are scored on every meeting after the fact. Sources are linked on the event itself: the Fed's own calendar, FRED release dates, TreasuryDirect, the ISM report, the issuer's earnings page.

The terminal's dock opens the same week beside the session, marks in-session events on the time axis and the replay scrubber, and in the live stream counts down to the next one. The Lab reads the calendar as per-minute columns, so a rule can name "the first 15 minutes after CPI". The raw file is public JSON, keyed by ET date, rebuilt every six hours.

Measured history, not a forecast. The calendar is built from public schedules and can change when the source changes; nothing on this page is investment advice. See the Terms.